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| 3949.00 | RTHRegular Trading Hours. In the /ES this means the price action from 9:30am EST to 4:15pm EST only. High 3.11 / ATHAll Time High |
|---|---|
| 3934.25 | Settlement |
| 3924.25 | ONLOvernight Low. A term mostly used for the futures market as it trades almost around the clock. To be precise, in the /ES this would be the lowest price between 4:30pm EST and 9:30am EST the next day. |
| 3904.50 | RTHRegular Trading Hours. In the /ES this means the price action from 9:30am EST to 4:15pm EST only. Low / Lack of Material Excess |
Tiny gap on both sides. Gap rulesGuidelines to follow on any day that the futures open outside of the prior day's RTH range. Only opening outside of range is a true gap and puts gap rules in play. 1. Go with all gaps that don't fill right away. This means that if early trade doesn't start to correct the imbalance, then prices will probably move in the direction of the gap. 2. Larger gaps can often fail to fill on the first day or may fill only partially. 3. If the gap fills (meaning the prior day's RTH high is touched on a gap up or the prior day's RTH low is touched on a gap down) and value cannot get to at least overlapping, then the odds of a late day rally (on a gap up) or late day selloff (on a gap down) increase. 4. Gaps of larger than $20 in the /ES are difficult to trade and should be avoided early in the day as t... are not in play. Overnight inventoryA way of measuring overnight activity in the futures market by just noting how much of the overnight activity happens to fall above the prior day's settlement value (4:15pm EST close) and how much falls below. If more activity is above the settlement, then overnight inventory is said to be net long. If more is below, then it is said to be net short. If all of the overnight activity is above the settlement, then it is said to be 100% net long. If all of the activity is below the settlement then it is said to be 100% net short. The overnight inventory situation matters most and has the most impact on early trade when it is skewed 100% in either direction because when the imbalance is very large like that then the odds of an early correction increase greatly. This is due to the fact that most... is very balanced and we are currently in the middle to lower third of the range. All of this speaks to a market that is in balance and has potential to remain so in the RTHRegular Trading Hours. In the /ES this means the price action from 9:30am EST to 4:15pm EST only. session. Higher odds trades should develop later in the session rather than at the open. Responsive tradeA responsive trade is a counter-trend trade taken against a specific level. The theory is that when two sided trade is taking place, there will not be enough momentum to push past key levels and buyers or sellers will respond to those areas, essentially pushing prices away from them. This is the opposite of breakout or initiative trade which is more directional in nature and is generally taken in the direction of the prevailing trend. will be the M.O. unless the all time high or the RTHRegular Trading Hours. In the /ES this means the price action from 9:30am EST to 4:15pm EST only. Low is breached.
Scenarios
- Overnight activity is in balance and has not exhibited any price exploration out of recent range. As such, assume responsive tradeA responsive trade is a counter-trend trade taken against a specific level. The theory is that when two sided trade is taking place, there will not be enough momentum to push past key levels and buyers or sellers will respond to those areas, essentially pushing prices away from them. This is the opposite of breakout or initiative trade which is more directional in nature and is generally taken in the direction of the prevailing trend. within the RTHRegular Trading Hours. In the /ES this means the price action from 9:30am EST to 4:15pm EST only. range of the last two sessions.
- The recent ATHAll Time High may be a breakout point for initiative trade. Monitor for continuation if so.
- Friday’s RTHRegular Trading Hours. In the /ES this means the price action from 9:30am EST to 4:15pm EST only. Low printed a lack of material excess (the minimum two ticks needed to not be poor). That structure could be in need of repairA market profile term for "fixing" profile distributions that are missing parts that would make them complete or more symmetrical. This concept is most often applied to poor highs and poor lows which are profile distributions that lack excess on their endpoints and have two or more TPO's across creating tops or bottoms that look flat. Once a new session trades through these levels then it is as though the current activity was "pasted onto" the prior activity to complete the picture. It should be noted that repair can only occur in an RTH session. Overnight activity that trades through areas of poor RTH structure does not repair that structure. on any liquidation breakA sudden selloff in the market that has the following characteristics:
-Often happens very early or late in the day
-Comes out of a pattern that doesn’t suggest such a break should occur
-Has no definitive catalyst or news that drives it
-Has much faster tempo than the one that has already been established
-Is often short-lived and will retrace 100% soon after or the next day
A liquidation break happens when short term traders get overly long and all panic out at once. It is different from a stronger, more lasting correction in that there are usually only very short timeframe players involved, usually those who got most recently long at poor location.. There is a VPOCVirgin Point of Control. This is a point of control level that has not yet been tested (traded through) during an RTH session. If the POC gets tested during an overnight session, it does not count and remains "virgin" until it happens during a day session. at 3890.00 from 3/10.
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